Daily Market Highlights

Cattle Current Daily—May 27, 2022

Cattle futures softened with the week’s weaker cash prices.

Feeder Cattle futures closed an average of 80¢ lower, from 2¢ lower in waning spot May to $1.32 lower.

Live Cattle futures closed an average of 33¢ lower, except for an average of 8¢ higher in the front two contracts.

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade ranged from slow trade on light demand to mostly inactive on very light demand through Thursday afternoon, according to the Agricultural Marketing service.

Although too few to trend, there were a few live trades in Kansas at $136/cwt. and a few dressed trades in Nebraska at $224.

Established live cattle prices so far this week are $1 lower in the Southern Plains at $137, steady to $2 lower in Nebraska at $140 and $2 lower in the western Corn Belt at $140. Dressed prices are $3 lower in Nebraska at $223.

Choice Boxed beef cutout value was $1.04 higher Thursday afternoon at $263.97/cwt. Select was 37¢ higher at $244.43.

Corn futures closed mixed, 3¢ to 5¢ lower in new-crop contracts and then mostly fractionally higher to 1¢ higher.

Soybean futures closed 30¢ to 45¢ higher through Jan ’23 and then mostly 13¢ to 24¢ higher, helped along by oil prices. 

******************************

Major U.S. financial indices bounced higher Thursday, likely driven by oversold conditions and positive employment news. Initial unemployment insurance claims for the week ending May 14 of 210,000 was 8,000 fewer than the previous week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 516 points higher. The S&P 500 closed 79 points higher. The NASDAQ was up 305 points.

******************************

The Creighton University Rural Mainstreet Index (RMI) declined to 57.7 in May from 62.0 a month earlier but remained above growth neutral for the eighteenth consecutive month.

“Much like the nation, the growth in the Rural Mainstreet economy is slowing. Supply chain disruptions from transportation bottlenecks and labor shortages continue to constrain growth. Farmers and bankers are bracing for escalating interest rates — both long-term and short-term,” says Ernie Goss, the Jack A. MacAllister Chair in Regional Economics at Creighton University’s Heider College of Business.

The RMI is based on a monthly survey of bank CEOs in rural areas of a 10-state region dependent on agriculture and/or energy.

The region’s farmland price index for May declined to 72.0 from 80.0 in April, marking the twentieth straight month that the index was above growth neutral. Over the past several months, the Creighton survey has registered the most consistent and strongest growth in farmland prices since the survey began in 2006.

On average, cash rents have risen by 9.6% to $250 per acre for non-irrigated crop land over the past 12 months, according to bankers.

Escalating costs of farm inputs pushed borrowing in the region to its highest reading since May 2020.

Cattle Current Daily—May 27, 2022 2022-05-26T18:53:14-05:00

Cattle Current Daily—May 26, 2022

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade was slow to moderate on moderate demand in Nebraska through Wednesday afternoon, according to the Agricultural Marketing Service. Live prices were $2 lower at $140/cwt. and dressed prices were generally $3 lower at $222-$225.

Elsewhere, trade was limited on light demand with too few transactions to trend.

Earlier in the week, live prices were $1 lower in the Southern Plains at $137.

Last week, live prices were $142 in Colorado and the western Corn Belt. Dressed prices in the Western Corn Belt were $223-$227.

Choice Boxed beef cutout value was 72¢ lower Wednesday afternoon at $262.93/cwt. Select was $1.29 lower at $244.06.

Feeder Cattle futures eased an average of 33¢ higher, except for an average of 11¢ lower in two contracts, helped along by weaker Corn futures.

Live Cattle futures closed an average of 29¢ lower, except for an average of 34¢ higher in the back three contracts, struggling with lower cash prices and the likelihood seasonal beef prices are near the peak.

Grain futures were under pressure Wednesday, due to planting progress, China’s announcement that it will begin importing corn from Brazil and Russia’s announcement that it would allow grain exports from Ukraine in exchange for the easing of some current sanctions.

Corn futures closed mostly 2¢ to 7¢ lower.

Soybean futures closed 10¢ to 12¢ lower in old-crop contracts, 1¢ 4¢ lower through May ’23 and then mostly 1¢ higher.

******************************

Major U.S. financial indices closed higher Wednesday, helped along by the release of FOMC minutes detailing domestic economic strength in the face of inflation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 191 points higher. The S&P 500 closed 37 points higher. The NASDAQ was up 170 points.

******************************

“Despite the difference in regional prices, all cattle feeding regions are expected to see lower prices as the market moves into the summer,” says Andrew P. Griffith, agricultural economist at the University of Tennessee, in his weekly market comments. “There will continue to be an ample supply of cattle for harvest the next few months, but there will soon come a time when market-ready supplies will dwindle and packers will have to compete for animals to hang on the rail. How quickly this situation presents itself is not known, but it will be sooner rather than later.”

In the meantime, Griffith points out commercial beef production through the first four months of this year totaled 9.35 billion lbs., which was 1.1% more year over year.

“The majority of this increase is from increased beef cow slaughter, Griffith explains. “Beef cow slaughter is 15.5% higher year to date compared to 2021 and is expected to remain elevated as drought continues to grip the western third of the United States.

“Increased heifer slaughter is also contributing to increased beef production as slaughter is up 1.7% compared to the same weeks in 2021, but the larger contributor is the heavier dressed weight of heifers, which are nearly 8 lbs. heavier than a year ago. Steer slaughter has decreased year to date compared to last year, but steer dressed weight is running nearly 10 lbs. heavier than a year ago. Increased beef production will pressure beef prices in the midst of this high inflationary period. Consumers will be forced to make decisions on discretionary spending that they have not had to make in several years.”

Cattle Current Daily—May 26, 2022 2022-05-25T19:33:03-05:00

Cattle Current Daily—May 25, 2022

Lower Corn futures helped Feeder Cattle extend gains Tuesday. They closed an average of $2.56 higher ($1.05 higher in spot May to $3.17 higher at the back).

Live Cattle futures closed an average of 23¢ higher, except for an average of 14¢ lower in the front two contracts and unchanged at the back.

Corn futures closed 12¢ to 14¢ lower through Jly ‘23 and then mostly 2¢ lower, pressured by resurgent planting progress.

Soybean futures closed mostly unchanged to 3¢ lower, except for fractionally higher to 6¢ higher in the front three contracts.

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade in the Southern Plains was $1 lower through Tuesday afternoon at $137/cwt., according to the Agricultural marketing Service. That was on moderate trade and demand in the Texas Panhandle and slow trade on moderate demand in Kansas.

Elsewhere, trade was limited on light demand with too few transactions to trend.

Last week, live prices were $140-$142 in the Northern Plains and $142 in the western Corn Belt. Dressed prices were $226 in Nebraska and $223-$227 in the western Corn Belt.

Choice Boxed beef cutout value was 63¢ lower Tuesday afternoon at $263.65/cwt. Select was $1.12 higher at $245.35.

******************************

Major U.S. financial indices closed mixed Tuesday, led lower by warnings of slowing social media growth.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 48 points higher. The S&P 500 closed 32 points lower. The NASDAQ was down 270 points.

******************************

Beef in cold storage Apr. 30 was record high for the date — 18% more than the previous year but 1% less than the prior month — according to USDA’s latest Cold Storage report.

Frozen pork supplies were 9% more than the previous month and 16% more than the prior year.

Total red meat supplies in freezers were up 4% compared to the previous month and up 16% year over year.

Total frozen poultry supplies were 1% more than the previous month and year. 

Cattle Current Daily—May 25, 2022 2022-05-24T20:25:36-05:00

Cattle Current Daily—May 24, 2022

Apparently, Cattle futures were too cheap and/or traders had already factored in what turned out be a bearish Cattle on Feed report Friday.

Feeder Cattle closed an average of 98¢ higher (5¢ higher in spot May to $1.70 higher).  

And that was with Corn futures futures closed 5¢ to 7¢ higher through Jly ‘23 and then mostly fractionally higher to 1¢ higher.

Higher wholesale beef prices helped Live Cattle close an average of 69¢ higher, except for 2¢ lower in away Aug. 

Choice Boxed beef cutout value was $2.11 higher through Monday afternoon at $264.28/cwt. Select was $1.21 higher at $244.23.

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade ranged from mostly inactive on very light demand to a standstill through Monday afternoon, with too few transactions to trend, according to the Agricultural Marketing Service.

Last week, live prices were $138/cwt. in the Southern Plains, $140-$142 in the Northern Plains and $142 in the western Corn Belt. Dressed prices were $226 in Nebraska and $223-$227 in the western Corn Belt.

The five-area weighted average fed steer price last week was $2.19 lower at $140.25/cwt. The average price in the beef was $3.02 lower at $225.80.

******************************

Major U.S. financial indices closed higher Monday, amid what might have been a relief rally following last week’s sharply lower markets.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 618 points higher. The S&P 500 closed 72 points higher. The NASDAQ was up 180 points.

******************************

By any measure, Derrell Peel, Extension livestock marketing specialist at Oklahoma State University says national pasture and hay conditions are off to their worst start in 35 years as drought continues to grip various parts of the country.

“The Latest Drought Monitor has a Drought Severity and Coverage Index (DSCI) of 183 (out of 500 possible) for the nation, the highest DSCI in mid-May for any year of the data back to 2000,” Peel explains, in his weekly market comments. “This includes over 63% of the country abnormally dry or worse, with 21.6% percent of the country in extreme (D3) to exceptional drought (D4). USDA reported pasture and range conditions starting in May have the highest percentage of poor to very poor conditions this year in data back to 1995.”

At the same time, Peel notes national hay stocks May 1 were 15.1% less than the average for 2012-2021; hay stocks in the 17 western states were 21.7% less.

“High fertilizer and fuel prices are adding to the extraordinary cattle industry challenges in 2022. High input costs are causing some producers that are not facing drought conditions to reduce or skip fertilization of pastures and hay fields. This will result in additional forage reduction and push herd inventories even lower,” Peel says.

From January through April, Peel explains beef cow slaughter equated to 4.2% of the Jan. 1 inventory. It was 3.0% for the same period from 1986 though 2021.

“The highest previous culling percentage for the January through April period was 3.7% in 1986,” Peel says. “The beef cow herd decline this year may well be the largest since 1986, when the beef cow herd decreased 4.7% year over year, a drop of 1.65 million head in one year.”

Cattle Current Daily—May 24, 2022 2022-05-23T20:52:12-05:00

Cattle Current Daily—May 23, 2022

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade ranged from mostly inactive on very light demand to a standstill through Friday afternoon with too few transactions to trend, according to the Agricultural Marketing Service.

For the week, live prices were $2 lower in the Southern Plains at $138/cwt., $4 lower in Nebraska at $140 and $2-$3 lower in the western Corn belt at $142. Dressed prices were $4 lower in Nebraska at $226. Dressed prices in the western Corn Belt the previous week were $227-$230.

Total estimated cattle slaughter last week was 23,000 head more than the previous week and 8,000 head more than the previous year at 680,000. Total estimated year-to-date cattle slaughter of 13.0 million head was 84,000 head more. Total estimated year-to-date beef production of 10.8 billion lbs. was 98.9 million lbs. more than last year.

Choice Boxed beef cutout value was 47¢ higher through Friday afternoon at $262.17/cwt. Select was $3.04 lower at $243.02.

Cattle futures closed lower again Friday with continued pressure from volatile outside markets, and perhaps with some prescient positioning ahead of the Cattle on Feed report (see below).

Feeder Cattle futures closed an average of 70¢ lower.

Live Cattle futures closed an average of 53¢ lower, except for 7¢ higher in spot Jun.

Corn futures closed mostly 1¢ to 4¢ lower.

Soybean futures closed mostly 8¢ to 9¢ higher. 

******************************

Major U.S. financial indices closed flat Friday, following a day of extreme volatility as investors try to stave off a bear market. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 8 points higher. The S&P 500 closed fractionally higher. The NASDAQ was down 33 points.

******************************

Markets will likely view Friday’s monthly Cattle on Feed report as bearish.

Feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity placed 1.81 million head in April, which was 0.88% less than the previous year, but 3% more than estimates ahead of the report.

In terms of placement weights, 34.5% went on feed weighing 699 lbs. or less, 49.9% weighing 700-899 lbs. and 15.5% weighing 900 lbs. or more.

Marketings in April of 1.89 million head were 43,000 head fewer (-2.2%) than the previous year. That was about even with pre-report expectations.

There were 11.97 million head on feed May 1, which was 2% more than last year and about 2% more than expected. That’s the largest inventory for the date since the series began in 1996.

Cattle Current Daily—May 23, 2022 2022-05-21T18:17:17-05:00

Cattle Current Daily—May 20, 2022

Live Cattle firmed, closing narrowly mixed, from an average of 38¢ lower to an average of 14¢ higher. However, contra-seasonally lackluster wholesale beef prices and the dwindling premium in deferred contracts continued to cast a gloomy pall.

Feeder Cattle futures closed an average of 76¢ lower (52¢ to $1.72 lower) amid extremely light trade.

Corn futures closed mixed, mostly 4¢ lower to 2¢ higher.

Soybean futures closed mostly 12¢ to 15¢ higher. 

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade ranged from mostly inactive on very light demand to a standstill through Thursday afternoon, with too few transactions to trend, according to the Agricultural Marketing Service.

So far this week, live prices are $2 lower in the Southern Plains at $138, $2-$4 lower in Nebraska at $140-$142 and $2-$3 lower in the western Corn Belt at $142. Dressed prices are $4 lower in Nebraska at $226.

Last week, live prices were $140-$144 in Colorado. Dressed prices were $227-$230 in the western Corn Belt.

Choice Boxed beef cutout value was $1.23 higher Thursday afternoon at $261.70/cwt. Select was 4¢ lower at $246.06.

Net U.S. beef export sales of 23,300 metric tons for the week ending May 12 were 18% less than the previous week but 35% more than the previous four-week average, according to the U.S. Export Sales report. Increases were primarily for Japan, South Korea, China, Taiwan, and Canada.

******************************

Major U.S. financial indices softened further Thursday with more news of major retailers struggling with earnings.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 236 points lower. The S&P 500 closed 22 points lower. The NASDAQ was down 29 points.

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil futures on the CME closed $2.30 to $2.85 higher through the front six contracts.

******************************

“Drought conditions and higher operating costs have encouraged the rapid culling of beef cows in first-quarter 2022 to levels not seen in decades,” say analysts with USDA’s Economic Research Service (ERS), in the latest Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook. “Also, based on USDA Agricultural Marketing Service reports for actual weekly slaughter under federal inspection, April 2022 showed the highest number of beef cows slaughtered for the month since 1996. There were over 5 million more beef cows on January 1 of 1996 than January 1 of this year. Subsequently, the outlook weakens for the potential calf crops in 2022 and 2023, further reducing potential cattle placements year over year in late 2022 and early 2023.”

According to ERS, the pastureland condition index at the beginning of this year’s grazing season was the lowest since the series began in 1995, reflecting two years of drought.

“As more calves are placed in feedlots sooner than normally expected due to drought conditions, marketings in 2022 are pulled forward into the second and third quarters, partially offsetting an expected decline in marketings in late 2022,” say ERS analysts.

However, these analysts note the expected increase in cow and bull slaughter more than offsets the net decline in fed cattle marketings this year. ERS projects beef production at 27.8 billion lbs. this year and 6.8% less next year at 26.0 billion lbs. That would be the least production since 2016.

Cattle Current Daily—May 20, 2022 2022-05-19T18:51:14-05:00

Cattle Current Daily-05-19-22

Cattle futures trended lower pressured by bearish outside markets. Feeder Cattle futures closed an average of 69¢ lower. Live Cattle futures closed an average of $1.46 lower.

Grain futures were also pressured by pessimistic outside markets.  Corn futures closed mostly 10¢ to 20¢ lower. Soybean futures closed 14¢ to 26¢ lower. 

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade was slow on light demand in Nebraska at $140/cwt., which was $2 less than earlier in the week. Elsewhere, trade was limited on light demand through Wednesday afternoon with too few transactions to trend.

So far this week, live prices are $2 lower in the Southern Plains at $138, $2-$4 lower in Nebraska at $140-$142 and $2-$3 lower in the western Corn Belt at $142. Dressed prices are $4 lower in Nebraska at $226.

Last week, live prices were $140-$144 in Colorado. Dressed prices were $227-$230 in the western Corn Belt.

Choice Boxed beef cutout value (p.m.): 1¢ lower at $260.47/cwt. Select was $2.17 lower at $246.02.

******************************

Major U.S. financial indices plunged Wednesday Tuesday, in the wake of mega-retailers Walmart and Target posting weaker than expected earnings as inflation weighs.

“Bottom-line results were unexpected and reflect the unusual environment. U.S. inflation levels, particularly in food and fuel, created more pressure on margin mix and operating costs than we expected,” according to Doug McMillon, Walmart president and CEO.

Likewise, Brian Cornell, Target Corp, chairman and chief executive officer explains, “Throughout the quarter, we faced unexpectedly high costs, driven by a number of factors, resulting in profitability that came in well below our expectations, and well below where we expect to operate over time.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1,164 points lower. The S&P 500 closed 165 points lower. The NASDAQ was down 566 points.

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil futures on the CME closed $2.59 to $2.83 lower through the front six contracts.

******************************

USDA’s Economic Research Service (ERS) projects cattle prices next year to increase for a second consecutive year and approach the record-high levels of 2014, when the U.S. cattle inventory was the least since 1952.

“With a smaller 2022 calf crop and higher anticipated beef cow slaughter in 2022, calf supplies are expected to contract in 2023,” say ERS analysts, in the latest Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook. “The average annual feeder steer price is expected to climb to $198.00/cwt. in 2023, $35 (+22%) than the projection for 2022.”

So far this year, ERS analysts point out the faster pace of placements and slower than expected fed cattle marketing resulted in the largest on-feed numbers recorded for the month of April.

“This has likely kept feeder calf prices restrained, given late-2022 fed cattle prices implied by the futures market for late 2022,” say ERS analysts. “The third-quarter 2022 price forecast is raised $1, but the fourth-quarter 2022 price is lowered $2, for an annual forecast of $162.80/cwt., 20¢ lower than last month’s forecast.”

Specifically, ERS projects feeder steers prices (basis 750-800 lbs. in Oklahoma City) at $159 in the second quarter, $166 in the third quarter and $170 in the fourth quarter. Price for the first quarter of next year is projected at $168.

Cattle Current Daily-05-19-22 2022-05-18T21:27:51-05:00

Cattle Current Daily—May 18, 2022

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade and demand were light to moderate in the Southern Plains through Tuesday afternoon with live prices $2 lower at $138/cwt.

In Nebraska, there were a few dressed sales at $226-$227 on slow trade and light demand, but too few to trend. Last week live prices were $144 and dressed prices were $230.

Elsewhere, trade was mostly inactive on light demand, according to the Agricultural Marketing Service. Live prices in the western Corn Belt Monday were $2-$3 lower at $142. Dressed prices last week were $227-$230. Live prices in Colorado last week were $140-$144.

Softer cash prices pressured Feeder Cattle an average of 75¢ lower despite the tiny respite in Corn futures.

Grain and Soybean futures closed mostly higher, though with KC Wheat up another 15¢ to 20¢. 

Corn futures closed mixed, mainly 4¢ lower to 2¢ higher, starting with new-crop contracts.

Soybean futures closed mostly 17¢ to 20¢ higher. 

Recently higher wholesale beef prices helped cap losses in Live Cattle futures, which closed an average of 44¢ lower, except for 27¢ higher in away Aug.

Choice Boxed beef cutout value was 17¢ higher Tuesday afternoon at $260.48/cwt. Select was $2.52 higher at $248.19.

******************************

Major U.S. financial indices closed higher Tuesday, with investors apparently supported by supposed bottom picking and emboldened by retail data. U.S. retail sales grew by 0.9% in April, according to the monthly Advance Sales report from the U.S. Census Bureau.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 431 points higher. The S&P 500 closed 80 points higher. The NASDAQ was up 321 points.

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil futures on the CME closed $1.80 to $2.19 lower through the front six contracts.

******************************

Despite bearing the brunt of pandemic dining room lockdowns and restrictions, independent restaurants with one to two locations still represent 53% of total restaurants in the U.S., according to The NPD Group (NPD). Based on NPD’s Fall 2021 ReCount® restaurant census, independent restaurant locations declined by 8% or 28,399 units in 2020 but grew by 1% or 2,893 units by late 2021. Independent locations are growing in seven of the nine Census divisions and large urban areas like Los Angeles, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Seattle-Tacoma.

Independent restaurant spending with broadline foodservice distributors also points toward recovery.

Independent operators increased cases of food and supplies ordered from leading broadline distributors by 27% in the 12 months ending March 2022 compared to the same period a year ago. That was 5% more than the pre-pandemic level in the period ending March 2019. 

“The pandemic lockdowns and restrictions were particularly tough for Independent restaurant operators since they have fewer resources and capital than chains to withstand tougher times,” says David Portalatin, NPD food industry advisor. “Some independents didn’t make it, but many did, and they are thriving and contributing to the overall vibrancy of the U.S. foodservice market.” 

Consumer online and physical visits to independent restaurants increased by 12% in the 12 months ending March compared to the same period a year ago and are now 7% below the pre-pandemic level in the 12 months ending March 2019, according to NPD.

During the same period, visits to independent full-service restaurants — representing about 63% of all independent restaurants — were up 19% compared to the year ending March 2021, resulting in a 14% decline from the year ending March 2019 before the pandemic.

Quick-service independent restaurant traffic increased by 5% in the 12 months ending March 2022 compared to a year ago and was up 1% from the pre-pandemic level in the 12 months ending March 2019.

Cattle Current Daily—May 18, 2022 2022-05-17T20:13:29-05:00

Cattle Current Daily—May 17, 2022

India’s weekend announcement that it would ban wheat exports shoved nearby KC Wheat limit up 70¢ Monday, leading other grains higher.

Corn futures closed 16¢ to 28¢ higher through new-crop contracts and then mostly 7¢ to 9¢ higher.

Soybean futures closed 10¢ to 13¢ higher through Aug ‘23 and then mostly 1¢ to 4¢ higher.

Surging feed costs pressured Feeder Cattle futures an average of 66¢ lower.

Live Cattle futures closed an average of 69¢ higher, buoyed by oversold conditions, the cash premium and recently higher wholesale beef prices.

Choice Boxed beef cutout value was $1.36 higher Monday afternoon at $260.31/cwt. Select was $1.77 higher at $245.67.

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade was slow on light demand in the western Corn Belt through Monday afternoon with prices steady to $3 lower than last week at $142/cwt. Dressed prices there last week were $227-$230.

Elsewhere, trade was at a standstill, according to the Agricultural Marketing Service. Last week, live prices were $140 in the Southern Plains, $140-$144 in Colorado and $144 in Nebraska where dressed prices were $227-$230.

******************************

Major U.S. financial indices closed flat to lower Monday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 26 points higher. The S&P 500 closed 15 points lower. The NASDAQ was down 142 points.

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil futures on the CME closed $1.33 to $3.71 higher.

******************************

“The bleak prospects for pasture and hay production, combined with continued diminishment of hay stocks, suggests that significant and severe impacts on cattle herds are ahead as summer approaches,” says Derrell Peel, Extension livestock marketing specialist at Oklahoma State University, in his weekly market comments.

Pointing to USDA’s recent Crop production report, Peel explains hay stocks May 1 were 6.9% less year over year and 15.1% less than the average for 2012-2021. He adds hay stocks were 17.7% less than a year earlier in the 17 Plains and Western states.

“In all of these 17 western states, drought continues widespread,” Peel says. “More than 50% of the U.S. beef cow herd is directly threatened by drought. Across the country more than 50% of pastures and range are in poor to very poor condition. That majority of this pasture and range is in these western states.”

Regionally, Peel says hay stocks in the West are 36.6% less than 2020 levels, following two years of drought and are 27.1% less than the 10-year average.

In the Southern Plains region of Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas, he explains May 1 hay stocks were down 12.0% year over year and down 25.3% from the 2012-2021 average.

“Colorado and Nebraska are unique among the 17 western states,” Peel says. “Colorado had hay stocks up 152.2% year over year and up 30.3% over the 10-year average. Nebraska had May 1 hay stocks up 25.0% year over year and 14.1% above the 2012-2021 average. Despite the improvement in hay stocks for these two states, drought conditions persist and pasture and range conditions are diminished in 2022.”

According to the latest USDA Crop Progress report, as of May 15, 22% of the nation’s pasture and range was classified as Good (20%) or Excellent (2%) compared to 25% last year, and 49% was rated Poor (24%) or Very Poor (25%) versus 43% the same week a year earlier.

Cattle Current Daily—May 17, 2022 2022-05-16T20:50:43-05:00

Cattle Current Daily—May 16, 2022

Grain futures were mixed Friday, continuing to adjust to the previous day’s bullish World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates.

Corn futures closed mostly 4¢ to 10¢ lower. Soybean futures closed 12¢ to 32¢ higher through Sep ‘23 and then fractionally higher to 1¢ higher, except for 63¢ higher in spot May. 

Softer Corn prices helped Feeder Cattle futures regain a little lost ground Friday, closing an average of 84¢ higher (20¢ to $1.50 higher), except for 40¢ lower in the back contract.

Live Cattle futures closed an average of 39¢ lower, except for 42¢ higher in spot Jun, challenged by sluggish wholesale beef prices.

However, Choice Boxed beef cutout value was $1.75 higher Friday afternoon at $258.95/cwt. Select was 46¢ lower at $243.90. Week to week, Choice boxed beef cutout value was $4.51 higher but Select was $1.16 lower.

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade ranged from limited on light demand to mostly inactive with very light demand through Friday afternoon, according to the Agricultural Marketing Service.

For the week, live prices were $140/cwt. in the Southern Plains, $144 in Nebraska and $144-$145 in the western Corn Belt. Dressed prices were $227-$230.

Estimated total cattle slaughter last week was the same as the prior week at 657,000 head. Year-to-date estimated total cattle slaughter of 12.3 million head was 71,000 head more than the previous year. Total estimated year-to-date beef production of 10.28 billion lbs. was 91.1 million lbs. more than the same time last year.

******************************

At least for the day, investors on Wall Street seemed to think it was time to expand ownership in stocks, pushing major U.S. financial indices sharply higher.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 466 points higher. The S&P 500 closed 93 points higher. The NASDAQ was up 434 points.

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil futures on the CME closed $2.85 to $4.36 higher through the front six contracts, apparently buoyed by snug supplies and chatter about Shanghai reopening.

******************************

Although western pasture and range conditions showed year-over-year improvement the first two week of this year’s growing season, nationwide conditions declined, say analysts with the Livestock Marketing Information Center (LMIC), in the latest Livestock Monitor.

“More than 50% of U.S. pasture and range is rated Poor to Very Poor compared to just under 50% last year. Western pastures are rated under 40% Poor and Very poor compared to more than 50% a year ago,” say LMIC analysts. “Great Plains and Southern Plains states are showing more severe conditions at this time. Great Plains pasture and range conditions are currently rated 60-55% Poor and Very Poor in the first two weeks of the (rating) year, needing additional feed to support normal stocking densities. The five-year average indicates that the start of year typically only shows about a 10% rating of Poor and Very Poor.”

LMIC analysts note the starkest deterioration is in the Southern Plains, where 57% and 50% of pasture and ranges was classified as Poor or Very Poor the first two weeks, compared to about 30% at the same time last year and about 15% for the five-year average.

Cattle Current Daily—May 16, 2022 2022-05-15T14:42:01-05:00

This Is A Custom Widget

This Sliding Bar can be switched on or off in theme options, and can take any widget you throw at it or even fill it with your custom HTML Code. Its perfect for grabbing the attention of your viewers. Choose between 1, 2, 3 or 4 columns, set the background color, widget divider color, activate transparency, a top border or fully disable it on desktop and mobile.

This Is A Custom Widget

This Sliding Bar can be switched on or off in theme options, and can take any widget you throw at it or even fill it with your custom HTML Code. Its perfect for grabbing the attention of your viewers. Choose between 1, 2, 3 or 4 columns, set the background color, widget divider color, activate transparency, a top border or fully disable it on desktop and mobile.

This Is A Custom Widget

This Sliding Bar can be switched on or off in theme options, and can take any widget you throw at it or even fill it with your custom HTML Code. Its perfect for grabbing the attention of your viewers. Choose between 1, 2, 3 or 4 columns, set the background color, widget divider color, activate transparency, a top border or fully disable it on desktop and mobile.

This Is A Custom Widget

This Sliding Bar can be switched on or off in theme options, and can take any widget you throw at it or even fill it with your custom HTML Code. Its perfect for grabbing the attention of your viewers. Choose between 1, 2, 3 or 4 columns, set the background color, widget divider color, activate transparency, a top border or fully disable it on desktop and mobile.