Cattle Current Daily—Apr. 29, 2019

Cattle Current Daily—Apr. 29, 2019

When all was said done last week, negotiated cash fed cattle prices were steady in the Southern Plains at $126/cwt., but $2-$3 less in the north at $125-$127 in Nebraska and $128 in the western Corn Belt. Dressed trade was $2-$3 lower at mostly $205 in Nebraska and mostly $205-$206 in the western Corn Belt.

Cattle futures edged mostly lower Friday, but apparent short covering and positioning helped staunch the downward momentum of the previous two sessions.

Except for 50¢ higher in spot Apr, Live Cattle futures closed an average of 32¢ lower.

Except for 40¢ higher in spot May and an average of 7¢ higher in the back two contracts, Feeder Cattle futures closed an average of 41¢ lower.

Wholesale beef values were steady on light to moderate demand and offerings, according to the Agricultural Marketing Service.

Choice boxed beef cutout value was 6¢ higher Friday afternoon at $232.99/cwt. Select was 34¢ lower at $219.41.

Corn futures closed 1¢ to 4¢ higher.

Soybean futures closed 4¢ to 5¢ lower.

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Major U.S. financial indices closed higher on Friday, buoyed by estimated GDP growth in the first quarter, which was more than expected.

Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased 3.2% in the first quarter of this year, according to the advance estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2018, real GDP increased 2.2%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 81 points higher. The S&P 500 closed 13 points higher. The NASDAQ was up 27 points.

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“I am optimistic that live and feeder markets will offer some correction to the sharp moves down, possibly if we see strong seasonal cattle and beef movements. But, the stronger than expected cattle market story might be over,” says Stephen Koontz, agricultural economist at Colorado State University, in the latest issue of In the Cattle Markets.

Although carcass weights continue lower than last year, at least for a while yet, and wholesale beef values appear ready for a seasonal surge, increasing cattle supplies will continue to weigh on prices through the summer.

“The inventory of market-ready cattle, as proxied by the calculated cattle on feed over 120 days, are nothing short of enormous,” Koontz says. “Orderly and aggressive marketings through the remainder of April, May, and June are essential.”

2019-04-27T16:29:38-05:00

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