Cattle Current Daily—March 15, 2021

Cattle Current Daily—March 15, 2021

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade was limited on light demand in all major cattle feeding regions through Friday afternoon, according to the Agricultural Marketing Service.

For the week, live prices were steady at $114/cwt. in the Southern Plains, steady to $1 higher at $114 in Colorado, steady in Nebraska at $113-$114 and steady to $1 lower in the western Corn Belt at $112-$113. Dressed trade was steady in Nebraska at $180 and steady to $2 lower in the western Corn Belt at $178-$180.

Lower grain futures helped lift Cattle futures on Friday. Perhaps some traders also are returning to the Live Cattle Market, positioning ahead of what appears to be a solid trend higher after first-quarter supplies are whittled and as the U.S. economy expands.

Live Cattle futures closed an average of 83¢ higher.

Feeder Cattle futures closed an average of $1.52 higher.

Choice boxed beef cutout value was 80¢ lower Friday afternoon at $225.87/cwt. Select was 20¢ higher at $220.27.

Total estimated cattle slaughter for the week ending Mar. 13 was 647,000 head, which was 18,000 head fewer than the prior week. Year-to-date estimated total cattle slaughter of 6.47 million head is 209,000 head fewer (-3.12%). Estimated beef production so far this year is 5.46 billion lbs., which is 74.8 million lbs. less (-1.35%) than the same time last year.

Corn futures closed mostly 4¢ lower.

Soybean futures closed 1¢ to 5¢ higher, after mostly fractionally mixed through Jan ’22. 

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Major U.S. financial indices closed mixed but mostly higher Friday. Primary pressure was rising bond yield rates on big tech stocks.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 293 points higher. The S&P 500 closed 4 points higher. The NASDAQ was down 78 points.

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Gradual deployment of effective COVID-19 vaccines is boosting prospects for sustained global economic recovery, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

OECD increased its expectations for global GDP this year by more than 1%—compared to December projections—to 5.6%, in that organization’s Interim Economic Outlook.

World output is expected to reach pre-pandemic levels by the middle of this year but the pace and duration of the recovery will depend on the race between vaccines and emerging variants of the virus, according to OECD analysts.

“Widespread vaccination of the adult population is the best economic policy available today to get our economies and employment growing again,” says OECD Chief Economist Laurence Boone. “…If we don’t get enough people vaccinated quickly enough to allow restrictions to be lifted, the recovery will be slower and we will undermine the benefits of fiscal stimulus.”

In the OECD’s central scenario, U.S. GDP is projected to be 6.5% this year, which is more than 3% higher than the December projection, partly reflecting the large-scale fiscal stimulus with a sustained pace of vaccination.

Vaccine deployment remains uneven globally, OECD analysts say, noting the pandemic is widening gaps in economic performance between countries and between sectors, increasing social inequalities, particularly affecting vulnerable groups, and risking long-term damage to job prospects and living standards for many people.

Among other highlights from the OECD report summary:

Cost pressures have begun to emerge in commodity markets due to the resurgence of demand and temporary supply disruptions, but underlying inflation remains mild, held back by spare capacity around the world.

The current very accommodative monetary policy stance should be maintained, and allow temporary overshooting of headline inflation provided underlying price pressures remain well contained, with macro-prudential policies deployed where necessary to ensure financial stability.

Continued income support for households and companies is warranted until vaccination allows a significant easing of restraints on face-to-face activities, but should be refocused to support people and help companies with grants and equity rather than debt.

2021-03-14T18:49:22-05:00

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