Cattle Current Daily—May 13, 2021

Cattle Current Daily—May 13, 2021

Negotiated cash fed cattle trade was slow on light demand in the Southern Plains through Wednesday afternoon. Live prices were steady to $1.50 higher in the Texas Panhandle at mostly $119/cwt. There were a few live trades in Kansas at $120, but too few to trend; $119 last week.

Trade was limited on light demand in Nebraska. Dressed trade was at $191, steady with the previous day and $1 to $3 higher than last week. There were a few live trades at $120, but too few to trend; $118 last week.

Elsewhere, trade was mostly inactive on light demand.

Live prices in the western Corn Belt Tuesday were $118-$120, compared to $119 last week. Dressed prices last week were $187-$190.

Cattle feeders offered 2,469 head in Central Stockyards’ weekly Fed Cattle Exchange Auction. Of those, 1,588 head sold (1,114 heifers and 474 steers) for a weighted average price of $119.93/cwt., via live weight and bid-the-grid. The majority was from Texas.

Slaughter steers sold $1-$2 higher at Sioux Falls Regional in South Dakota and slaughter heifers traded steady to $1 higher. There were 168 Choice 3-4 steers weighing an average of 1,534 lbs., bringing an average of $119.56.

Choice steers and heifers sold $4.25 to $5.75 higher at the fat auction in Tama, IA. There were 152 Choice 2-4 steers weighing an average of 1,442 lbs., bringing an average of $125.65.

Feeder Cattle futures continued their nascent rally Wednesday, supported by more optimistic projections of the balance sheet for corn, in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates. Live Cattle closed narrowly mixed with some likely profit taking and sharply lower outside markets.

Live Cattle futures closed an average of 38¢ higher, except unchanged in two contracts and down an average of 12¢ in two.

Feeder Cattle futures closed an average of $1.79 higher ($1.42 higher at the front of the board to $2.20 higher at the back).

Choice boxed beef cutout value was $2.71 higher Wednesday afternoon at $315.08/cwt. Select was 82¢ higher at $297.16.

The monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (see below) stoked Soybean futures Wednesday, but dampened new-crop Corn futures.

Corn futures closed mostly 13¢ to 18¢ lower through the new crop year and then mostly 2¢ to 9¢ lower.

Soybean futures closed 11¢ to 23¢ higher through Jan ‘22, then mostly 15¢ to 17¢ lower.

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Major U.S. financial indices closed sharply lower Wednesday, pressured by indicators of higher inflation than investors expected.

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.8% in April, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. That followed an increase of 0.6% the previous month. The all items index is up 4.2% over the last 12 months, the steepest rise since the period ending September 2008.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 681 points lower. The S&P 500 closed 89 points lower. The NASDAQ was down 357 points.

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USDA’s latest monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates pegged beef production for this year at 27.9 billion lbs., which would be 260 million lbs. more (0.94%) than the previous month and 726 million lbs. more (2.67%) than last year. Increased fed and non-fed slaughter projections drove the adjustment.

The forecast annual average five-area direct fed steer price was projected at $116.30/cwt., which was 30¢ higher than the previous month. Projected average prices are $118 in the second quarter, $114 in the third quarter and $120 in the fourth quarter.

Hay stocks on farms May 1 of 18.0 million tons were 2.4 million tons less than the same time last year, according to the USDA Crop Production report.

Projections for total red meat and poultry production increased 161 million lbs. (0.15%) month to month. That would be 693 million lbs. more (0.65%) than last year.

Corn

The new corn crop is projected at 15.0 billion bu., up from last year on increased area and a return to trend yield of 179.5 bu./acre. With beginning stocks sharply lower year over year, total corn supplies are forecast to increase modestly to 16.3 billion bu.

The season-average corn price received by producers in 2021-22 was projected at $5.70/bu., up $1.35 from a year ago.

Soybeans

The soybean crop was projected at 4.4 billion bu., up 270 million from last year on increased harvested area and trend yields. With lower beginning stocks, soybean supplies were projected 3% less than last year.

With prices for fall delivery above $14.00/bu. in some locations, the 2021-22 U.S. season-average soybean price was projected at $13.85/bu., up $2.60 from 2020-21. Soybean meal prices were forecast at $400 per short ton, down $5.00 from the revised forecast for 2020-21. Soybean oil prices were forecast at 65.0¢/lb., up 10¢ from the revised 2020-21 forecast.

Wheat

Projected 2021-22 ending stocks were projected 11% lower than last year at 774 million bu., the lowest level in seven years. That’s based on lower carry-in stocks and production increasing 3%.

The projected 2021-22 season-average farm wheat price was $6.50/bu., which would be $1.45 higher than last year’s revised price.

2021-05-12T20:20:38-06:00

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